An Introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle

Ralph Nelson Elliott, the man behind the Elliott Wave Theory, discovered that crowd behaviour trends in recognisable patterns.   In his research, Elliot found similar recurring patterns regardless of the financial market and time frame.  This research would eventually lead him to develop the Elliott Wave Principle. At the core of this principle, Elliott noted thirteen distinct market patterns or waves that periodically repeat in both shape and form.

The main take away from the Elliott Wave Principle is that the financial markets are fractal and we see the same patterns repeating on lower time-scales (lesser degree). Since trading using Elliott Waves is an advanced and more complex trading method, it is perhaps best to introduce the core principles and patterns outlined in this theory.

The Basic Elliott Wave Pattern

In the theoretically perfect world, Elliott Waves occur in sets of five sub-waves – three up and two down (see Figure 1). After the 5th wave, the trend reverses and corrects the prevailing trend in three large corrective waves. The market doesn’t move linearly and the purpose of having a 5-wave move is to allow for variations.

In Elliott Wave Theory, there are two main sub-types of waves in the Elliott Wave Pattern:

  1. Motive Waves (waves 1,3 and 5; A and C) which tend to be smooth and firm.
  2. Corrective Waves (waves 2 and 4; B) with tends to be messy and choppy.

Motive Elliott Wave Patterns

Each the Motive waves (1, 3 and 5) are in the direction of the trend, and the declining Corrective waves (2 & 4) are smaller than the motive waves and go against the prevailing trend.  If you see this pattern play out in full, it serves to reinforce the idea that we’re moving in a trend and points to the direction of the trend.

Figure 1: Elliott Wave Count

Figure 1: Elliott Wave Count

A genuine Elliott Wave (EW) pattern must satisfy three essential rules for the five-wave move to be confirmed (Source):

  • Wave 2 never retraces more than 100% of Wave 1. Usually, the retracement is between 50% and 61.8% of wave 1.
  • Wave 4 never retraces more than 100% of wave 3 — usually, declines between 38.2% and 50% of wave 3.
  • Wave 3 always travels beyond the end of wave 1, and it’s never the shortest one; Wave 3 will usually extend 161.8 x wave 1.

These rules ensure that there is progress in a trend, which makes for a more detailed version of Dow Theory that the market moves in several big swings. Other guidelines to keep in mind are as follows:

  • Usually, wave 1 and 5 tend to have the same length in price and time;
  • Corrective wave A and wave C tend to be the same length.
  • The waves must be symmetrical in both time and price;
  • The law of alternation, if wave 2 is a simple Elliott Wave Pattern, wave 4 must be a complex Elliott Wave pattern and vice versa.

Corrective Elliott Wave Patterns

Unlike Motive waves, Corrective waves sub-divide into three sub-waves, with the primary objective or correcting the Motive waves. Corrective waves are labelled using letters rather than numbers to distinguish the three different types of corrective wave structures.

Flat EW pattern

A flat Elliot Wave pattern is made up of three waves A, B and C of higher degree that follows a 3-3-5 wave structure, meaning that wave A subdivides into 3 waves, wave B into 3 waves and wave C into 5. There are three different types of flat EW patterns: Regular, Irregular and Expanded or Running flat.

Zigzag EW pattern

The Zigzag Elliott Wave pattern is made up of three waves A, B and C that follow a 5-3-5 wave structure, meaning wave A subdivides into 5 waves, wave B into 3 waves and wave C into 5. Zigzags have a sharp look and usually occur in wave 2 of an impulsive wave.

Triangle EW pattern

The Triangles Elliott Wave pattern is made up of five waves A, B, C, D, E of higher degree, that follows a 3-3-3-3-3 wave structure.   All five waves are subdivided into 3 sub-waves. There are three different types of triangle patterns: Contracting, Barrier and Expanding.

Trading Using The Elliott Wave Pattern

A useful strategy for trading using the Elliot Wave Patterns is called Channeling. Draw a I-III channel line connecting the peaks of wave I and III, to identify the bottom of the IV (fourth) wave by extending that line from the II wave.  As the Elliott wave principle states that following the 5 waves, there will be 3 corrective waves; a trader can establish directional bias, and place take-profit orders accordingly.

channeling

Figure 2: Elliott Wave Channeling

Trading Forex and CFDs is not suitable for all investors and comes with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75-90% of retail investors lose money trading these products. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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